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Currency Speculators increased US Dollar bearish positions for 2nd week

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US Dollar net speculator positions fell to $-3.93 billion this week

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators reduced their bets for the US dollar this week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar net position totaling $-3.93 billion as of Tuesday November 28th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and dollar amount calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly decline of $-0.78 billion from the $-3.15 billion total position that was registered the previous week, according to the Reuters calculation (totals of the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc).

The aggregate speculative position has now fallen for two weeks following a streak of seven weeks in which the dollar positions had improved. The aggregate dollar level has remained in a bearish overall standing now for twenty consecutive weeks.

 

Weekly Speculator Contract Changes:

The major currencies that improved against the US dollar this week were the British pound sterling (4,873 weekly change in contracts), Japanese yen (11,962 contracts), Canadian dollar (533 contracts) and the Mexican peso (9,180 contracts).

The currencies whose speculative bets declined this week versus the dollar were the euro (-5,756 weekly change in contracts), Swiss franc (-444 contracts),  Australian dollar (-935 contracts) and the New Zealand dollar (-628 contracts).

 

Table of Weekly Commercial Traders and Speculators Levels & Changes:

Currency Net Commercials Comms Weekly Chg Net Speculators Specs Weekly Chg
EuroFx -121,841 -4,766 89,681 -5,756
GBP -13,271 -6,128 4,573 4,873
JPY 130,967 -15,814 -110,640 11,962
CHF 47,448 -419 -30,184 -444
CAD -61,824 362 45,658 533
AUD -34,999 1,815 38,882 -935
NZD 16,201 -49 -14,022 -628
MXN -93,427 -10,441 89,566 9,180

 

This latest COT data is through Tuesday and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

 

Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price

EuroFX:

 

British Pound Sterling:

 

Japanese Yen:

 

Swiss Franc:

 

Canadian Dollar:

 

Australian Dollar:

 

New Zealand Dollar:

 

Mexican Peso:

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The charts overlay the forex closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.) See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.

Article by CountingPips.com

 

 

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About Louie Lewis

Louie Lewis
Successful forex trading starts with you first. Then comes the actual strategies and techniques. I have been involved with forex and forex trading for a few years now. It is a wonderful way to build wealth. The learning never stops and I want to help others along their journey into this wonderful market of opportunity.

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By CountingPips.com – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email US Dollar Index Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large forex speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. The non-commercial futures […]

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