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Forex Futures Speculators reduced US Dollar bullish positions for 3rd week

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US Dollar net speculator positions fell to $20.04 billion last week

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators cut back on their bullish bets for the US dollar last week and brought the bullish level to its lowest point since October.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $20.04 billion as of Tuesday January 24th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and dollar amount calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly decline of $-4.4 billion from the $24.44 billion total long position that was registered the previous week, according to the Reuters calculation (totals of the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc).

The aggregate US dollar speculative position has fallen for three straight weeks and now is at the lowest level since October 25th when positions totaled $18.81 billion. Despite the decline, the overall dollar position still remains above the +20 billion level for a thirteenth straight week.

 

Table of Weekly Commercial Traders and Speculators Levels & Changes:

All of the major currencies saw improved speculator positions against the US dollar last week (far right column below).

Currency Net Commercials Comms Weekly Chg Net Speculators Specs Weekly Chg
EuroFx 60267 -14310 -52348 14152
GBP 73025 -4154 -63172 3070
JPY 95853 -11360 -66840 10990
CHF 25920 -293 -13644 39
CAD -3042 -7898 2519 7975
AUD -9193 -12565 10294 5449
NZD 8797 -3225 -9883 2405
MXN 65854 -8085 -64654 8667

This latest COT data is through Tuesday and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

 

Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price

EuroFX:

 

British Pound Sterling:

 

Japanese Yen:

 

Swiss Franc:

 

Canadian Dollar:

 

Australian Dollar:

 

New Zealand Dollar:

 

Mexican Peso:

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The charts overlay the forex closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.) See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.
Article by CountingPips.com

 

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About Louie Lewis

Louie Lewis
Successful forex trading starts with you first. Then comes the actual strategies and techniques. I have been involved with forex and forex trading for a few years now. It is a wonderful way to build wealth. The learning never stops and I want to help others along their journey into this wonderful market of opportunity.

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