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Forex Speculators advanced US Dollar bullish positions for 5th straight week

By CountingPips.com

US Dollar net speculator positions rose to $18.81 billion last week

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators continued to increase their bullish bets for the US dollar last week for a fifth consecutive week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $18.81 billion as of Tuesday October 25th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and dollar amount calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly change of $0.37 billion from the $18.44 billion total long position that was registered the previous week, according to the Reuters calculation (totals of the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc).

The speculative dollar position remained above the +$10 billion dollar threshold for a fourth straight week and climbed to its highest level since January.

Weekly Speculator Contract Changes:

The major currencies that improved against the US dollar last week were the Japanese yen (7,604 weekly change in contracts),  British pound sterling (7,596 contracts), Mexican peso (5,376 contracts), Australian dollar (1,943 contracts) and the Canadian dollar (974 contracts).

The currencies whose speculative bets declined last week versus the dollar were the euro (-14,588 weekly change in contracts),  Swiss franc (-2,323 contracts) and the New Zealand dollar (-267 contracts).

Table of Weekly Commercial Traders and Speculators Levels & Changes:

Currency Net Commercials Comms Weekly Chg Net Speculators Specs Weekly Chg
EuroFx 138083 12676 -123856 -14588
GBP 98795 -2971 -83962 7596
JPY -28157 -632 44595 7604
CHF 39010 5320 -18700 -2323
CAD 21648 6142 -13324 974
AUD -40171 -2556 31923 1943
NZD -888 36 -420 -267
MXN 24711 -6484 -25343 5376


This latest COT data is through Tuesday and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.


Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price



British Pound Sterling:


Japanese Yen:


Swiss Franc:


Canadian Dollar:


Australian Dollar:


New Zealand Dollar:


Mexican Peso:

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The charts overlay the forex closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.) See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.

Article by CountingPips.com


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About Louie Lewis

Louie Lewis
Successful forex trading starts with you first. Then comes the actual strategies and techniques. I have been involved with forex and forex trading for a few years now. It is a wonderful way to build wealth. The learning never stops and I want to help others along their journey into this wonderful market of opportunity.

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