By Admiral Markets
The GBP/USD behaved as planned just before the May’s press conference had started. Just before the conference it followed our Session Recap analysis and dropped for 65 pips originally. However the weakness in the GBP hasn’t been sustained due to “sell the rumour, buy the fact” scenario. The vote on Brexit plans will be taken in both houses of parliament and there might be elections meanwhile.
Technically the GBP is still bearish. Levels and zones to watch for are pretty much shown on the chart. 1.2345 H4 resistance stands as interim resistance and we might see some short term rejections in the market close to that level. The POC zone 1.2380-2400 (78.6, Bearish order block) could reject the price as the ATR has already been overshot by huge extent. Traders need to pay attention on 4h close below 1.2250 for further bearish continuation towards 1.2185 and 1.2100. Another cue is also to look for MACD divergence at the top, that will be another confirmation for short trades, providing that bears want to see momentum fade. Due to recent developments in the GBP and UK, using profit stops is strongly advised should price reach the POC zone and reject from it.
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Article by Admiral Markets
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