I still have one 2016 trade active (NZD/USD short from ascending channel), and there is a pending order carried over from 2016 (USD/CAD ascending channel). Nevertheless, it is now time to calculate my profit for the past year. The remaining position and order will count for 2017 results.
Unfortunately my minuscule 2015 profitability has turned into a loss in 2016. Although a 0.7% loss is not a big deal, it is still a loss. In 2016, I have made 13 trades vs. 17 trades in 2015.
Three out of four of my profitable trades were double tops — one in GBP/CAD, and two in AUD/NZD. This means that all of my 2016 double top trades turned profitable. The remaining profitable trade was a descending channel in USD/CAD and it was also my best trade last year.
My worst trades have one word in common — ‘triangle’. The worst one was the symmetrical triangle in EUR/NZD on the weekly chart. Then comes the symmetrical triangle in CAD/JPY on the daily timeframe. And the third worst trade was the ascending triangle in EUR/AUD on the 4-hour chart.
The 13 trades I take into account when calculating 2016 profitability are based on my main strategy. It is focused on chart patterns and dictates clear rules for entries and exits. But there were two trades in 2016 that I do not include into my performance results:
- Long USD/CNY trade in
January-February. It was based on fundamentals and ended up with a stop-lossdue to my poor choice of SL in this particular case. The yuan did fell in 2016 eventually.
- GBP/NZD carry trade that I opened back in August and increased the volume in October. It shows significant positive paper profit whereas its overnight swaps have already brought back 10% of the total risk.
I would not call 2016 a lucky year for my Forex trading. I am looking to register a much better performance in 2017. And how about you?
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